About the crisis

To understand why the crisis was over, and at the same time is not over yet - take a little dip in the background to. To begin with, that the economy is such a thing, that once all the bad may be only in the case of global catastrophe, but even in this case there is a number of people who are nice to be enriched in this. So we will celebrate in our article, and the waves, these waves have touched someone - talk about global herovastosti, fortunately, does not have to.

The first wave struck in October-November. Actually, it was really- a powerful test for the banking system. And many did not survive his. Lots of funny sales of banks for the ruble, the waves of layoffs, the end of the lending khaljavnogo. But the main result of the first wave - covered with a copper basin corporate lending. And it was a powerful blow to the pyramids of credit - when previous loans were given by new. So in many ways are right, those who shouted that the crisis will wash away the garbage. October revealed a wave of living beyond their means and just put them out of the market.

But not all. Part came to pay homage and received state subsidy or preferential loans. This is important. Memorize this moment. It is important here is that some companies who lived beyond their means have been saved. So, have learned nothing, but got a hefty kick in the ass.

The second wave came in February. It's no secret that in 2008 - was a good year. Scald everything, even the shoe shiners. High oil prices, an unprecedented demand for all product categories, credits were given at times on the street to the first comer. In order not to happen in the autumn and spring and summer, many have a good supply of. This had to survive the fall and tolerably tolerant winter.

Then I went on to colleagues and friends, asked, interested in. And, oddly enough, pretty much saying that the crisis is the crisis, and the work is. Yes, some of Krupnyakov fallen off, but the newcomers basements. Some have maintained and all the logistics chain, continuing to pour the goods to the stores where no one is buying - but the manufacturers have not yet realized. In February, it was all over. Product froze, stopped the sale. Failures began to supply. Production howled, and the great logistics strained.

The second wave hit on those who have accumulated fat, and thought that fat will make it possible to wait out the hour of evil, and there are already season begins. We are, incidentally, tourism is well noticed - in February went reservation for the summer and the spring has gone a wholesale removal of the armor. Just was not what to go to summer vacation.

Hardest hit by the second wave of those who did not want to count a few months (years) ahead, content with the present day. There are orders - a job - so good. So it was during the favorable economic situation. And it seemed that even the autumn crisis will not change anything. But the business - it's not a skating rink, which is enough to wear ice skates - it's a roller coaster. It should always be prepared for the fact that the rise will be a sharp drop in.

However, there is a blessing in disguise. Autumn wave led to an interesting turn of events: the capital of the enterprises dying was redistributed in the direction of new. And this growth in the spring was on its feet. In addition, there has been consolidation in some sectors. And, of course, a lot was covered in the public sector. And here we are reminded of those who supported the government. They received a second kick. And it was much harder.

If a person does not learn, it is necessary to take him toys. Control over enterprises, failures began to pass to the State. Not to say that the state we have a great business executive. What is important is the fact of the transition of control. It is important that the nature of management attention was drawn to.

By the summer at the very least, those who survived - have learned to live under the new conditions. There is no easy money, there are constant discussions about the real price. And a lot of attention were paid to the marketing. It is better to pay attention to the quality of services. Many expected that the new realities of a sudden increase quality. And it has not grown. Prices fell slightly, began to pay more attention to wrap, but the quality remains the same. Careful and precautionary attitude of the staff enough for exactly four months, and by summer it melted away to zero. With regard to production - that nothing has changed: how kosyachili and continues to this day.

The summer was characterized by a certain elevation - as oil prices and activity in business. exacerbated competition. Like all good. But not quite.

Left a bomb with those who received government support. Judging by the developments in the situation of these companies is likely that the fall may be a catalyst for another failure.

Remains an unsolved problem, and the U.S. dollar. On the one hand, the alternative to the dollar as a means of exchange between states, there is still no. On the other hand, the infinite growth of external debt also can not go. When all this mass uhnet - nobody seems little. So still a very long time will not pretend that nothing has been noticed. But sooner or later, the alternative would be formed and the U.S. will be left alone with his huge debt. It's as if the guy who pick up debts and then his own creditors are trying to persuade each other to be patient and protect the reputation of a guy - they say, stumbled, with whom there is no. But to borrow a guy will not give or offer, but with three dozen reservations.

And since the crisis, of course, many who have benefited. CBR was the real exchange rate and the ability to even make it convertible. The economy has got rid of a large number of pyramidal business. The work has become less a place where serving time for wages. Not to say that all this dalos painless, but no one said it would be easy.

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